Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 47.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Roy 47.4% (+0.3%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 50.2%
Defensive zone
McDavid 50.0%
Neutral zone
McDavid 51.8%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
McDavid
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
46.4% (3,031)
+1.3%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
53.6% (560)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
46.8% (267)
-3.4%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,903).
McDavid shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Home / Away
McDavid
Roy
Home
49.3% (4,570)
49.5% (1,982)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
45.1% (1,897)
By Period
McDavid
Roy
P1
46.5%
47.6%
P2
48.7%
46.2%
P3
48.3%
48.5%
OT
40.9%
43.1%
Final 5 min
50.1%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%