Connor McDavid vs Derick Brassard
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Brassard shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Brassard 50.9% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 66.1%
Defensive zone
McDavid 67.0%
Neutral zone
McDavid 66.9%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
McDavid
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McDavid
Brassard
Last 6: McDavid 4-2 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Brassard
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McDavid
Brassard
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
50.9% (287)
+3.4%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
53.8% (39)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
50.0% (4)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
McDavid shoots left. Brassard is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
McDavid
Brassard
Home
53.6% (507)
52.1% (211)
Away
53.8% (539)
49.6% (119)
By Period
McDavid
Brassard
P1
52.6%
47.3%
P2
54.1%
56.6%
P3
54.9%
47.8%
OT
44.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 08:23 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 2 | 14:17 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 2 | 14:06 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 2 | 10:36 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 2 | 03:50 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 2 | 00:23 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |