Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 52.9%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Spezza 52.4% (+0.8%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 50.5%
Defensive zone
McDavid 56.7%
Neutral zone
McDavid 51.4%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
McDavid
Spezza
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
53.7% (451)
+0.6%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
54.3% (92)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
38.2% (34)
-4.9%
On power play, Spezza has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. McDavid is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (367).
McDavid shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
McDavid
Spezza
Home
53.6% (507)
55.0% (282)
Away
53.8% (539)
50.8% (295)
By Period
McDavid
Spezza
P1
52.6%
53.1%
P2
54.1%
53.2%
P3
54.9%
52.3%
Final 5 min
52.2%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%