Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Thornton 46.2% (+9.7%)
Offensive zone
Thornton 52.2%
Defensive zone
McDavid 57.2%
Neutral zone
McDavid 51.2%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
McDavid
Thornton
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
43.5% (161)
+10.8%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
50.0% (14)
-5.2%
On even strength, McDavid has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
McDavid shoots left. Thornton is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Home / Away
McDavid
Thornton
Home
53.6% (507)
41.5% (106)
Away
53.8% (539)
47.8% (69)
By Period
McDavid
Thornton
P1
52.6%
50.8%
P2
54.1%
41.0%
P3
54.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%