Connor McDavid vs John Mitchell
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Mitchell 51.0% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 58.1%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 72.3%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 60.1%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
McDavid
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
McDavid
Mitchell
Last 7: McDavid 4-3 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Mitchell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
2
McDavid
Mitchell
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
3
1
McDavid
Mitchell
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
51.8% (2,965)
-4.1%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
54.1% (196)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
44.1% (401)
-0.7%
On even strength, Mitchell has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,903).
McDavid shoots left. Mitchell is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,298).
Home / Away
McDavid
Mitchell
Home
49.3% (4,570)
54.4% (1,806)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
47.6% (1,756)
By Period
McDavid
Mitchell
P1
46.5%
52.0%
P2
48.7%
49.9%
P3
48.3%
50.9%
OT
40.9%
69.2%
Final 5 min
50.1%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2016 | 1 | 07:01 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 3 | 07:16 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 1 | 19:06 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 1 | 13:34 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 1 | 01:15 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 04:00 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 03:49 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |