Connor McDavid vs Laurent Dauphin
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McDavid wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Dauphin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Dauphin 44.4% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 87.2%
Defensive zone
McDavid 76.7%
Neutral zone
McDavid 74.7%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 81.3%
81.3%
18.7%
McDavid
Dauphin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
McDavid
Dauphin
Last 6: McDavid 5-1 Dauphin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
1
McDavid
Dauphin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Dauphin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Dauphin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Dauphin
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
43.0% (214)
+11.3%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
55.6% (9)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
29.2% (24)
+4.1%
On even strength, McDavid has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dauphin shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
McDavid shoots left. Dauphin is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (159).
Home / Away
McDavid
Dauphin
Home
53.6% (507)
47.2% (125)
Away
53.8% (539)
36.9% (122)
By Period
McDavid
Dauphin
P1
52.6%
42.0%
P2
54.1%
42.3%
P3
54.9%
43.0%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Dauphin
60.0%▲
51.5%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 05:45 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 10:17 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 05:24 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Laurent Dauphin |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 10:03 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 00:38 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |