Connor McDavid vs Luke Glendening
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Glendening 51.8% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 73.9%
Defensive zone
Glendening 75.9%
Neutral zone
Glendening 52.8%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
McDavid
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McDavid
Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Glendening
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
1
McDavid
Glendening
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (650)
53.5% (404)
-6.0%
Power Play
48.6% (72)
100.0% (4)
-51.4%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
46.8% (141)
-0.3%
On power play, Glendening has a +51.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. McDavid is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (211).
McDavid shoots left. Glendening is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
McDavid
Glendening
Home
50.2% (400)
46.9% (241)
Away
44.7% (365)
56.2% (308)
By Period
McDavid
Glendening
P1
47.5%
50.6%
P2
48.6%
51.8%
P3
46.7%
52.9%
OT
33.3%
83.3%
Final 5 min
51.3%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.6%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:40 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |