Connor McDavid vs Mathieu Perreault
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mathieu Perreault holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Perreault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 43.9% vs Perreault 50.9% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Perreault 51.4%
Defensive zone
McDavid 51.2%
Neutral zone
Perreault 50.8%
Result
Mathieu Perreault favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
McDavid
Perreault
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
McDavid
Perreault
Last 8: McDavid 4-4 Perreault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Perreault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
McDavid
Perreault
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Perreault
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (750)
47.6% (147)
-4.3%
Power Play
40.0% (25)
63.4% (41)
-23.4%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (31)
100.0% (1)
-58.1%
On penalty kill, Perreault has a +58.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Perreault shoots left. McDavid is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (475).
McDavid shoots left. Perreault is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
McDavid
Perreault
Home
48.7% (413)
57.0% (121)
Away
37.4% (393)
41.2% (68)
By Period
McDavid
Perreault
P1
38.8%
56.9%
P2
46.8%
42.1%
P3
44.2%
53.4%
OT
45.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
61.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
43.2%
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2016 | 3 | 19:19 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 3 | 01:44 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Oct 23, 2016 | 2 | 06:57 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 23, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Oct 23, 2016 | 1 | 12:30 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 23, 2016 | 1 | 09:40 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Oct 23, 2016 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 23, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |