Connor McDavid vs Mathieu Perreault
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mathieu Perreault holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Perreault on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Perreault 50.8% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Perreault 51.2%
Defensive zone
McDavid 58.7%
Neutral zone
McDavid 52.9%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
McDavid
Perreault
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
McDavid
Perreault
Last 9: McDavid 4-5 Perreault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Perreault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Perreault
3
4
McDavid
Perreault
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Perreault
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
50.7% (2,465)
-3.0%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
52.2% (454)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
44.0% (25)
-0.6%
On even strength, Perreault has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Perreault shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,903).
McDavid shoots left. Perreault is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,810).
Home / Away
McDavid
Perreault
Home
49.3% (4,570)
52.1% (1,474)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
49.6% (1,482)
By Period
McDavid
Perreault
P1
46.5%
52.4%
P2
48.7%
48.6%
P3
48.3%
51.8%
OT
40.9%
43.3%
Final 5 min
50.1%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2017 | 1 | 14:20 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 3 | 19:19 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 3 | 01:44 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Oct 23, 2016 | 2 | 06:57 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 23, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Oct 23, 2016 | 1 | 12:30 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 23, 2016 | 1 | 09:40 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Oct 23, 2016 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 23, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |