Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McDavid wins 41.9% vs left-shot opponents — Ribeiro shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 42.5% vs Ribeiro 39.3% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 66.8%
Defensive zone
McDavid 77.7%
Neutral zone
McDavid 56.2%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
McDavid
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
McDavid
Ribeiro
Last 7: McDavid 4-3 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
0
1
McDavid
Ribeiro
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Ribeiro
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
3
1
McDavid
Ribeiro
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (578)
37.8% (650)
+2.9%
Power Play
56.3% (16)
38.9% (108)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
0.0% (2)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. McDavid is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (363).
McDavid shoots left. Ribeiro is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
McDavid
Ribeiro
Home
42.7% (323)
37.9% (417)
Away
39.5% (281)
37.9% (343)
By Period
McDavid
Ribeiro
P1
42.3%
38.3%
P2
37.3%
38.8%
P3
43.4%
36.4%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
36.8%
33.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
41.2%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
37.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 04:18 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 00:51 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 1 | 09:39 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 1 | 06:48 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 1 | 03:39 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 00:25 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 04:04 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |