Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Ribeiro 43.2% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 50.3%
Defensive zone
McDavid 76.5%
Neutral zone
McDavid 60.0%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
McDavid
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
McDavid
Ribeiro
Last 7: McDavid 4-3 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
0
1
McDavid
Ribeiro
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Ribeiro
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
3
1
McDavid
Ribeiro
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
42.9% (4,887)
+4.8%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
45.6% (930)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
33.3% (147)
+10.1%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,903).
McDavid shoots left. Ribeiro is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,885).
Home / Away
McDavid
Ribeiro
Home
49.3% (4,570)
44.1% (3,144)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
41.9% (2,837)
By Period
McDavid
Ribeiro
P1
46.5%
42.6%
P2
48.7%
44.3%
P3
48.3%
41.8%
OT
40.9%
49.0%
Final 5 min
50.1%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 04:18 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 00:51 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 1 | 09:39 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 1 | 06:48 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 1 | 03:39 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 00:25 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 04:04 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |