Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). McDavid wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 42.2% vs Koivu 51.3% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 77.2%
Defensive zone
McDavid 80.3%
Neutral zone
McDavid 73.7%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
McDavid
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
McDavid
Koivu
Last 10: McDavid 2-8 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
McDavid
Koivu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
McDavid
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
5
McDavid
Koivu
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (855)
50.7% (1,073)
-9.3%
Power Play
47.8% (23)
65.3% (216)
-17.5%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (31)
43.4% (286)
-7.9%
On power play, Koivu has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. McDavid is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
McDavid shoots left. Koivu is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
McDavid
Koivu
Home
42.8% (451)
50.9% (752)
Away
40.0% (458)
51.8% (823)
By Period
McDavid
Koivu
P1
38.0%
51.9%
P2
44.9%
50.3%
P3
41.7%
51.4%
OT
20.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
41.4%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 1 | 03:07 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 1 | 00:06 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 17:12 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 08:03 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 13:44 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 16:00 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 15:42 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 07:15 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |