Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Koivu 54.0% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 27-16 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 71.0%
Defensive zone
McDavid 85.7%
Neutral zone
McDavid 82.5%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 81.6%
81.6%
18.4%
McDavid
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
27
(43 meetings)
16
27
McDavid
Koivu
Last 10: McDavid 6-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
McDavid
Koivu
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
5
11
McDavid
Koivu
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
7
12
McDavid
Koivu
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
54.0% (9,465)
-6.3%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
58.6% (2,100)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
48.9% (1,688)
-5.5%
On power play, Koivu has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,903).
McDavid shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Home / Away
McDavid
Koivu
Home
49.3% (4,570)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
McDavid
Koivu
P1
46.5%
53.5%
P2
48.7%
54.6%
P3
48.3%
54.0%
OT
40.9%
56.5%
Final 5 min
50.1%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 00:09 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 18:19 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 16:46 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 3 | 15:11 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 3 | 08:58 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 3 | 00:28 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 18:20 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 12:18 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 03:03 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 1 | 03:07 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 1 | 00:06 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 17:12 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 08:03 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 13:44 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 16:00 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 15:42 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |