Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Rantanen 53.2% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 72.3%
Defensive zone
McDavid 88.3%
Neutral zone
McDavid 57.0%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 72.3%
27.7%
72.3%
McDavid
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
McDavid
Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
2
McDavid
Rantanen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
51.7% (346)
-0.1%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
58.5% (164)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
0.0% (1)
+36.4%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +36.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
McDavid shoots left. Rantanen is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
McDavid
Rantanen
Home
51.8% (415)
55.8% (258)
Away
50.4% (450)
51.8% (253)
By Period
McDavid
Rantanen
P1
47.5%
50.0%
P2
51.6%
56.6%
P3
55.5%
54.3%
OT
50.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
50.5%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
54.0%▲
45.5%
51.1%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 16:45 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 02:30 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |