Connor McDavid vs Nate Thompson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Thompson 52.9% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 71.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 77.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 52.0%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
McDavid
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
McDavid
Thompson
Last 10: McDavid 5-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
5
1
McDavid
Thompson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
5
McDavid
Thompson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
54.1% (5,812)
-6.4%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
54.8% (135)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
47.9% (1,381)
-4.5%
On even strength, Thompson has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,903).
McDavid shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Home / Away
McDavid
Thompson
Home
49.3% (4,570)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
McDavid
Thompson
P1
46.5%
53.2%
P2
48.7%
52.9%
P3
48.3%
52.8%
OT
40.9%
47.9%
Final 5 min
50.1%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2021 | 2 | 18:17 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 1 | 08:25 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 06:07 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 06:01 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 06:28 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 09:21 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 09:11 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 02:52 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 08:29 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 3 | 08:28 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 06:19 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 03:29 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 09:23 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 3 | 04:10 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |