Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 47.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Moore 48.2% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Moore 55.0%
Defensive zone
McDavid 62.2%
Neutral zone
Moore 52.4%
Result
Oliver Moore favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
McDavid
Moore
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
McDavid
Moore
Last 5: McDavid 2-3 Moore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Moore
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moore
0
1
McDavid
Moore
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Moore
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Moore
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
49.1% (212)
-1.4%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
31.3% (16)
+20.7%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
25.0% (4)
+18.4%
On power play, McDavid has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Moore shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,903).
McDavid shoots left. Moore is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
McDavid
Moore
Home
49.3% (4,570)
50.4% (141)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
42.9% (91)
By Period
McDavid
Moore
P1
46.5%
44.7%
P2
48.7%
49.3%
P3
48.3%
48.1%
OT
40.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.1%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Moore
38.0%▼
48.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Oliver Moore |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 18:20 | Defensive | Oliver Moore |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 17:38 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 00:16 | Neutral | Oliver Moore |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |