Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Kozak 47.8% (+1.5%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 67.7%
Defensive zone
Kozak 58.5%
Neutral zone
McDavid 52.0%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
McDavid
Kozak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
46.0% (137)
+1.7%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
66.7% (3)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
40.0% (5)
-17.8%
On penalty kill, Kozak has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
McDavid shoots left. Kozak is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (83).
Home / Away
McDavid
Kozak
Home
47.3% (387)
51.2% (84)
Away
48.1% (389)
39.3% (61)
By Period
McDavid
Kozak
P1
47.6%
57.1%
P2
50.0%
34.7%
P3
45.0%
48.1%
Final 5 min
46.8%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
46.2%