Auston Matthews vs Connor McMichael
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — McMichael shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs McMichael 43.2% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 94.7%
Defensive zone
Matthews 93.2%
Neutral zone
Matthews 93.2%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 93.6%
93.6%
6.4%
Matthews
McMichael
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Matthews
McMichael
Last 7: Matthews 6-1 McMichael
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
McMichael
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
5
0
Matthews
McMichael
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
McMichael
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
43.4% (761)
+10.0%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
40.7% (59)
+25.1%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
30.8% (52)
+11.1%
On power play, Matthews has a +25.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McMichael shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. McMichael is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (591).
Home / Away
Matthews
McMichael
Home
56.5% (703)
42.1% (444)
Away
50.0% (616)
42.8% (428)
By Period
Matthews
McMichael
P1
52.1%
42.5%
P2
54.0%
41.9%
P3
54.0%
42.5%
OT
57.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 17:20 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 16:04 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 20, 2024 | 3 | 07:58 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 20, 2024 | 2 | 19:35 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 20, 2024 | 2 | 00:56 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |