Connor McMichael vs Ivan Barbashev
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McMichael holds a +20.8% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Barbashev shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 44.2% vs Barbashev 42.6% (+20.8%)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 65.8%
Defensive zone
McMichael 68.9%
Neutral zone
McMichael 53.8%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
McMichael
Barbashev
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Barbashev
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (367)
16.1% (31)
+26.7%
Power Play
51.0% (49)
60.0% (5)
-9.0%
On even strength, McMichael has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barbashev shoots left. McMichael is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (332).
McMichael shoots left. Barbashev is 22.2% vs left-shot opponents (27).
Home / Away
McMichael
Barbashev
Home
43.4% (267)
22.2% (18)
Away
42.5% (221)
22.2% (18)
By Period
McMichael
Barbashev
P1
46.2%
38.9%
P2
41.3%
8.3%
P3
42.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
50.0%▲
45.5%
43.0%
Barbashev
26.0%▼
36.5%
22.2%