Connor McMichael vs Ivan Barbashev
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McMichael holds a +20.7% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Barbashev shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.8% vs Barbashev 40.7% (+20.7%)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 66.2%
Defensive zone
McMichael 67.5%
Neutral zone
McMichael 54.9%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
McMichael
Barbashev
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Barbashev
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (399)
18.6% (43)
+23.8%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
42.9% (7)
+6.2%
On even strength, McMichael has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barbashev shoots left. McMichael is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (367).
McMichael shoots left. Barbashev is 22.9% vs left-shot opponents (35).
Home / Away
McMichael
Barbashev
Home
43.0% (298)
20.8% (24)
Away
42.5% (252)
23.1% (26)
By Period
McMichael
Barbashev
P1
46.5%
33.3%
P2
41.1%
6.7%
P3
41.3%
21.4%
Final 5 min
44.0%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.7%
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
22.0%