Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Drury shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.3% vs Drury 57.0% (-14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 80.8%
Defensive zone
McMichael 80.5%
Neutral zone
McMichael 79.6%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 80.3%
80.3%
19.7%
McMichael
Drury
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
McMichael
Drury
Last 5: McMichael 1-4 Drury
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
0
2
McMichael
Drury
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
Drury
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
0
2
McMichael
Drury
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Drury
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (1,574)
58.0% (1,975)
-14.9%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
58.5% (118)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (167)
52.1% (292)
-13.8%
On even strength, Drury has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drury shoots left. McMichael is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
McMichael shoots left. Drury is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,565).
Home / Away
McMichael
Drury
Home
42.6% (976)
58.3% (1,212)
Away
43.3% (904)
56.3% (1,173)
By Period
McMichael
Drury
P1
43.3%
56.0%
P2
43.2%
58.6%
P3
41.9%
57.0%
OT
75.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
42.8%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2024 | 2 | 02:39 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 3 | 11:46 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 3 | 11:27 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 3 | 07:33 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 2 | 10:43 | Neutral | Jack Drury |