Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Drury shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.2% vs Drury 54.6% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 82.0%
Defensive zone
McMichael 77.7%
Neutral zone
McMichael 83.4%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 81.7%
81.7%
18.3%
McMichael
Drury
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
McMichael
Drury
Last 5: McMichael 1-4 Drury
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
0
2
McMichael
Drury
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
Drury
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
0
2
McMichael
Drury
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Drury
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (761)
54.7% (590)
-11.3%
Power Play
40.7% (59)
54.7% (53)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (52)
71.4% (21)
-40.6%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +40.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drury shoots left. McMichael is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (591).
McMichael shoots left. Drury is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Home / Away
McMichael
Drury
Home
42.1% (444)
56.7% (358)
Away
42.8% (428)
53.6% (306)
By Period
McMichael
Drury
P1
42.5%
57.3%
P2
41.9%
57.6%
P3
42.5%
51.1%
Final 5 min
39.7%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.4%
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2024 | 2 | 02:39 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 3 | 11:46 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 3 | 11:27 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 3 | 07:33 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 2 | 10:43 | Neutral | Jack Drury |