Scouting Report
John Beecher holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McMichael on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McMichael wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Beecher shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.2% vs Beecher 53.8% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beecher 58.7%
Defensive zone
Beecher 96.3%
Neutral zone
Beecher 89.1%
Result
John Beecher favored at 76.3%
23.7%
76.3%
McMichael
Beecher
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
McMichael
Beecher
Last 6: McMichael 5-1 Beecher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
1
McMichael
Beecher
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
0
McMichael
Beecher
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
Beecher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Beecher
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (761)
56.2% (388)
-12.8%
Power Play
40.7% (59)
50.0% (2)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (52)
49.1% (110)
-18.3%
On penalty kill, Beecher has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beecher shoots left. McMichael is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (591).
McMichael shoots left. Beecher is 60.1% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
McMichael
Beecher
Home
42.1% (444)
51.5% (196)
Away
42.8% (428)
56.6% (304)
By Period
McMichael
Beecher
P1
42.5%
58.6%
P2
41.9%
49.0%
P3
42.5%
55.9%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
39.7%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.4%
Beecher
46.0%▬
45.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 05:14 | Offensive | John Beecher |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 02:25 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 15:00 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 08:56 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 13:00 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |