Connor McMichael vs Justin Danforth
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Justin Danforth holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McMichael on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McMichael wins 38.4% vs right-shot opponents — Danforth shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.3% vs Danforth 49.8% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Danforth leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McMichael 68.7%
Defensive zone
Danforth 64.5%
Neutral zone
Danforth 53.1%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
McMichael
Danforth
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
McMichael
Danforth
Last 8: McMichael 4-4 Danforth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
3
1
McMichael
Danforth
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
McMichael
Danforth
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danforth
0
2
McMichael
Danforth
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (1,574)
51.8% (1,018)
-8.7%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
50.0% (36)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (167)
40.1% (207)
-1.8%
On even strength, Danforth has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. McMichael is 38.4% vs right-shot opponents (628).
McMichael shoots left. Danforth is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (937).
Home / Away
McMichael
Danforth
Home
42.6% (976)
51.4% (619)
Away
43.3% (904)
48.3% (642)
By Period
McMichael
Danforth
P1
43.3%
49.1%
P2
43.2%
51.4%
P3
41.9%
48.3%
OT
75.0%
64.3%
Final 5 min
42.8%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 05:05 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 17:40 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 03:06 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 12:54 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 15:42 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 13:26 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 06:28 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |