Connor McMichael vs Justin Danforth
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Justin Danforth holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 35.2% vs right-shot opponents — Danforth shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.2% vs Danforth 48.8% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 65.5%
Defensive zone
Danforth 51.2%
Neutral zone
McMichael 57.5%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
McMichael
Danforth
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
McMichael
Danforth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
Danforth
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
0
1
McMichael
Danforth
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danforth
0
1
McMichael
Danforth
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (761)
51.2% (281)
-7.8%
Power Play
40.7% (59)
55.6% (9)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (52)
35.8% (67)
-5.0%
On power play, Danforth has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. McMichael is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (281).
McMichael shoots left. Danforth is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (262).
Home / Away
McMichael
Danforth
Home
42.1% (444)
52.0% (196)
Away
42.8% (428)
44.1% (161)
By Period
McMichael
Danforth
P1
42.5%
48.2%
P2
41.9%
52.8%
P3
42.5%
42.2%
OT
100.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
39.7%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.4%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 05:05 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 17:40 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 03:06 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |