Scouting Report
Connor McMichael holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McMichael on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McMichael wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Cooley shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.2% vs Cooley 39.5% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cooley 54.6%
Defensive zone
Cooley 59.7%
Neutral zone
Cooley 55.3%
Result
Logan Cooley favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
McMichael
Cooley
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
McMichael
Cooley
Last 5: McMichael 2-3 Cooley
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
0
2
McMichael
Cooley
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
1
McMichael
Cooley
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Cooley
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (761)
38.0% (634)
+5.4%
Power Play
40.7% (59)
44.7% (38)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (52)
23.5% (17)
+7.3%
On penalty kill, McMichael has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cooley shoots left. McMichael is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (591).
McMichael shoots left. Cooley is 36.9% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
McMichael
Cooley
Home
42.1% (444)
37.7% (332)
Away
42.8% (428)
38.4% (357)
By Period
McMichael
Cooley
P1
42.5%
39.1%
P2
41.9%
37.8%
P3
42.5%
36.2%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
39.7%
33.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
50.0%▲
45.5%
42.4%
Cooley
46.0%▲
40.5%
38.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 06:45 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 04:27 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 01:13 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 19:06 | Defensive | Logan Cooley |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 03:43 | Defensive | Logan Cooley |