Who wins more faceoffs, Connor McMichael or Macklin Celebrini?

Macklin Celebrini leads the head-to-head 6-2 across 8 faceoffs.

What is Connor McMichael's faceoff record against Macklin Celebrini?

Connor McMichael is 2-6 against Macklin Celebrini in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 1-2, Defensive 0-1, Neutral 1-3.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Connor McMichael or Macklin Celebrini?

Connor McMichael is the predicted winner with a 70.4% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Connor McMichael vs Macklin Celebrini

Connor McMichaelL vs Macklin CelebriniL

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Macklin Celebrini holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McMichael wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) McMichael 43.8% vs Celebrini 48.9% (-6.1%)

H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone McMichael 66.7%

Defensive zone McMichael 79.8%

Neutral zone McMichael 70.8%

Result Connor McMichael favored at 70.4%

70.4%

29.6%

McMichael Celebrini

Head-to-Head Record

2 - 6 (8 meetings)

McMichael Celebrini

Last 8: McMichael 2-6 Celebrini

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Celebrini

McMichael Celebrini

3 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: Celebrini

McMichael Celebrini

1 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Celebrini

McMichael Celebrini

4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

McMichael

Celebrini

Edge

Even Strength

42.4% (399)

48.2% (924)

-5.8%

Power Play

49.1% (55)

52.8% (108)

-3.7%

Penalty Kill

40.6% (96)

56.0% (25)

-15.4%

On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +15.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Celebrini shoots left. McMichael is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (367).

McMichael shoots left. Celebrini is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (733).

Home / Away

McMichael

Celebrini

Home

43.0% (298)

47.8% (523)

Away

42.5% (252)

49.8% (534)

By Period

McMichael

Celebrini

46.5%

47.8%

41.1%

47.4%

41.3%

51.1%

Final 5 min

44.0%

45.2%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

McMichael

34.0%▼

45.0%

42.7%

Celebrini

48.0%▲

46.0%

48.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Jan 15, 2026	2	17:58	Defensive	Macklin Celebrini
Jan 15, 2026	2	04:29	Offensive	Macklin Celebrini
Jan 15, 2026	2	00:00	Neutral	Macklin Celebrini
Jan 15, 2026	1	15:49	Offensive	Macklin Celebrini
Jan 15, 2026	1	12:41	Offensive	Connor McMichael
Jan 15, 2026	1	00:00	Neutral	Macklin Celebrini
Dec 3, 2025	2	19:34	Neutral	Connor McMichael
Dec 3, 2025	2	02:41	Neutral	Macklin Celebrini

McMichael's Profile | Celebrini's Profile