Who wins more faceoffs, Connor McMichael or Macklin Celebrini?

Macklin Celebrini leads the head-to-head 6-2 across 8 faceoffs.

What is Connor McMichael's faceoff record against Macklin Celebrini?

Connor McMichael is 2-6 against Macklin Celebrini in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 1-2, Defensive 0-1, Neutral 1-3.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Connor McMichael or Macklin Celebrini?

Connor McMichael is the predicted winner with a 70.4% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Connor McMichael vs Macklin Celebrini

Connor McMichaelL vs Macklin CelebriniL

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Macklin Celebrini holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McMichael wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) McMichael 43.3% vs Celebrini 48.6% (-5.6%)

H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone McMichael 70.6%

Defensive zone McMichael 73.5%

Neutral zone McMichael 69.4%

Result Connor McMichael favored at 70.4%

70.4%

29.6%

McMichael Celebrini

Head-to-Head Record

2 - 6 (8 meetings)

McMichael Celebrini

Last 8: McMichael 2-6 Celebrini

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Celebrini

McMichael Celebrini

3 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: Celebrini

McMichael Celebrini

1 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Celebrini

McMichael Celebrini

4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

McMichael

Celebrini

Edge

Even Strength

43.1% (1,574)

47.7% (1,825)

-4.6%

Power Play

46.0% (139)

53.8% (247)

-7.8%

Penalty Kill

38.3% (167)

55.6% (36)

-17.3%

On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +17.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Celebrini shoots left. McMichael is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).

McMichael shoots left. Celebrini is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,444).

Home / Away

McMichael

Celebrini

Home

42.6% (976)

47.7% (1,076)

Away

43.3% (904)

49.4% (1,032)

By Period

McMichael

Celebrini

43.3%

47.2%

43.2%

46.9%

41.9%

51.5%

75.0%

47.4%

Final 5 min

42.8%

47.1%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

McMichael

34.0%▼

45.0%

42.9%

Celebrini

48.0%▲

46.0%

48.5%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Jan 15, 2026	2	17:58	Defensive	Macklin Celebrini
Jan 15, 2026	2	04:29	Offensive	Macklin Celebrini
Jan 15, 2026	2	00:00	Neutral	Macklin Celebrini
Jan 15, 2026	1	15:49	Offensive	Macklin Celebrini
Jan 15, 2026	1	12:41	Offensive	Connor McMichael
Jan 15, 2026	1	00:00	Neutral	Macklin Celebrini
Dec 3, 2025	2	19:34	Neutral	Connor McMichael
Dec 3, 2025	2	02:41	Neutral	Macklin Celebrini

McMichael's Profile | Celebrini's Profile