Connor McMichael vs Michael McLeod
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +22.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McMichael on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McMichael wins 35.2% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.2% vs McLeod 63.0% (-22.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 61.7%
Defensive zone
McLeod 77.7%
Neutral zone
McLeod 54.0%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
McMichael
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
McMichael
McLeod
Last 6: McMichael 3-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McMichael
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
1
McMichael
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
McMichael
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (761)
64.8% (509)
-21.4%
Power Play
40.7% (59)
68.4% (19)
-27.7%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (52)
65.3% (124)
-34.5%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +34.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. McMichael is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (281).
McMichael shoots left. McLeod is 66.7% vs left-shot opponents (496).
Home / Away
McMichael
McLeod
Home
42.1% (444)
64.3% (308)
Away
42.8% (428)
65.7% (344)
By Period
McMichael
McLeod
P1
42.5%
62.9%
P2
41.9%
64.8%
P3
42.5%
67.9%
OT
100.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
39.7%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.4%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
65.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2024 | 2 | 13:54 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 2 | 13:48 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 2 | 06:56 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 2 | 04:40 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 1 | 18:03 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |