Connor McMichael vs Morgan Geekie
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McMichael wins 35.2% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.2% vs Geekie 44.9% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 59.2%
Defensive zone
McMichael 56.2%
Neutral zone
McMichael 60.4%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
McMichael
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
McMichael
Geekie
Last 7: McMichael 2-5 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
Geekie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
3
McMichael
Geekie
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
2
McMichael
Geekie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (761)
43.7% (584)
-0.3%
Power Play
40.7% (59)
47.1% (68)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (52)
50.0% (8)
-19.2%
On penalty kill, Geekie has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. McMichael is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (281).
McMichael shoots left. Geekie is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
McMichael
Geekie
Home
42.1% (444)
45.3% (329)
Away
42.8% (428)
42.9% (331)
By Period
McMichael
Geekie
P1
42.5%
41.2%
P2
41.9%
45.0%
P3
42.5%
46.2%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
39.7%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.4%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 17:25 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 12:32 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 10:54 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 02:47 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 14:15 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |