Connor McMichael vs Nick Bjugstad
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 39.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.8% vs Bjugstad 49.1% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 55.1%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 54.2%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 51.7%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
McMichael
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McMichael
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
McMichael
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (399)
48.9% (280)
-6.5%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
50.0% (6)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (96)
47.2% (36)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. McMichael is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (183).
McMichael shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
McMichael
Bjugstad
Home
43.0% (298)
48.4% (190)
Away
42.5% (252)
49.2% (132)
By Period
McMichael
Bjugstad
P1
46.5%
41.7%
P2
41.1%
56.6%
P3
41.3%
48.7%
Final 5 min
44.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.7%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 16:55 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 12:14 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |