Connor McMichael vs Nico Hischier
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McMichael on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McMichael wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.8% vs Hischier 54.9% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 79.1%
Defensive zone
Hischier 60.7%
Neutral zone
Hischier 68.7%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 68.2%
31.8%
68.2%
McMichael
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
McMichael
Hischier
Last 7: McMichael 4-3 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McMichael
Hischier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
3
0
McMichael
Hischier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
2
McMichael
Hischier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (399)
55.0% (1,107)
-12.6%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
63.1% (252)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (96)
43.6% (149)
-3.0%
On power play, Hischier has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. McMichael is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (367).
McMichael shoots left. Hischier is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (977).
Home / Away
McMichael
Hischier
Home
43.0% (298)
56.5% (763)
Away
42.5% (252)
54.0% (745)
By Period
McMichael
Hischier
P1
46.5%
56.0%
P2
41.1%
57.6%
P3
41.3%
53.0%
Final 5 min
44.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.7%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 04:30 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 13:29 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 14:50 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 15:36 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 03:15 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |