Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McMichael wins 35.2% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.2% vs Acciari 53.9% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 88.4%
Defensive zone
Acciari 79.8%
Neutral zone
McMichael 62.4%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
McMichael
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
McMichael
Acciari
Last 8: McMichael 3-5 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
McMichael
Acciari
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
3
McMichael
Acciari
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (761)
55.6% (426)
-12.2%
Power Play
40.7% (59)
0.0% (2)
+40.7%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (52)
52.1% (146)
-21.3%
On power play, McMichael has a +40.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. McMichael is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (281).
McMichael shoots left. Acciari is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (444).
Home / Away
McMichael
Acciari
Home
42.1% (444)
55.2% (306)
Away
42.8% (428)
53.7% (268)
By Period
McMichael
Acciari
P1
42.5%
55.5%
P2
41.9%
54.3%
P3
42.5%
54.1%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
39.7%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.4%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 03:30 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 02:16 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 16:03 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 19:56 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 15:02 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 08:31 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 06:28 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |