Scouting Report
Pius Suter holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Suter on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McMichael wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.3% vs Suter 46.3% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 54.2%
Defensive zone
McMichael 52.1%
Neutral zone
McMichael 52.1%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
McMichael
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
McMichael
Suter
Last 9: McMichael 4-5 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suter
1
2
McMichael
Suter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
1
McMichael
Suter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suter
1
2
McMichael
Suter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (1,583)
46.2% (3,223)
-2.9%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
53.0% (281)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (176)
40.1% (307)
-2.6%
On power play, Suter has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. McMichael is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,261).
McMichael shoots left. Suter is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,405).
Home / Away
McMichael
Suter
Home
42.6% (976)
46.7% (1,823)
Away
43.3% (922)
45.7% (1,988)
By Period
McMichael
Suter
P1
43.3%
46.6%
P2
43.1%
46.0%
P3
42.1%
46.0%
OT
75.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
42.6%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Suter
40.0%▼
48.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 14:11 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:37 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 18:22 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 09:50 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 04:38 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 02:53 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 15:41 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 2 | 17:51 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 2 | 04:00 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |