Connor McMichael vs Steven Stamkos
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McMichael wins 38.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.3% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
McMichael 53.6%
Defensive zone
McMichael 60.0%
Neutral zone
McMichael 56.5%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
McMichael
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
McMichael
Stamkos
Last 10: McMichael 4-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
McMichael
Stamkos
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
McMichael
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McMichael
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (1,574)
50.4% (9,799)
-7.3%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
55.1% (1,725)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (167)
49.7% (825)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. McMichael is 38.4% vs right-shot opponents (628).
McMichael shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,778).
Home / Away
McMichael
Stamkos
Home
42.6% (976)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
43.3% (904)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
McMichael
Stamkos
P1
43.3%
49.1%
P2
43.2%
52.7%
P3
41.9%
50.9%
OT
75.0%
54.3%
Final 5 min
42.8%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 13:22 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 03:31 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 09:40 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 09:15 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 02:24 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 16:28 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 07:56 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 11:17 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 2 | 10:33 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 2 | 07:48 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 2 | 10:43 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |