Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (41.2% vs 41.5%). Zary wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — Penner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 42.6% vs Penner 43.3% (-0.3%)
Offensive zone
Zary 54.3%
Defensive zone
Penner 54.8%
Neutral zone
Penner 51.9%
Result
Dustin Penner favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Zary
Penner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Penner
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (447)
40.7% (214)
+1.1%
Power Play
36.2% (58)
45.5% (112)
-9.3%
On power play, Penner has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Penner shoots left. Zary is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Zary shoots left. Penner is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (258).
Home / Away
Zary
Penner
Home
41.3% (293)
44.4% (207)
Away
41.0% (212)
38.3% (183)
By Period
Zary
Penner
P1
40.4%
36.1%
P2
38.6%
36.6%
P3
45.2%
53.6%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
34.6%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
41.2%
Penner
34.0%▼
42.0%
41.5%