Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Zary wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 42.6% vs McBain 46.7% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zary 63.8%
Defensive zone
McBain 81.7%
Neutral zone
McBain 62.3%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Zary
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Zary
McBain
Last 7: Zary 4-3 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
2
Zary
McBain
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zary
2
0
Zary
McBain
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Zary
McBain
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (447)
48.0% (2,298)
-6.2%
Power Play
36.2% (58)
49.0% (51)
-12.8%
On power play, McBain has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Zary is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Zary shoots left. McBain is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,667).
Home / Away
Zary
McBain
Home
41.3% (293)
49.0% (1,359)
Away
41.0% (212)
44.0% (1,298)
By Period
Zary
McBain
P1
40.4%
46.7%
P2
38.6%
47.5%
P3
45.2%
45.6%
OT
0.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
34.6%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
41.2%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 03:38 | Defensive | Connor Zary |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 01:14 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 2 | 08:56 | Defensive | Connor Zary |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 2 | 05:52 | Offensive | Connor Zary |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 1 | 17:54 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 1 | 05:58 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | Jack McBain |