Scouting Report
Jan Jenik holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zary on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Zary wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Jenik shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 46.9% vs Jenik 49.2% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zary 52.7%
Defensive zone
Jenik 57.1%
Neutral zone
Jenik 51.6%
Result
Jan Jenik favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Zary
Jenik
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Zary
Jenik
Last 7: Zary 4-3 Jenik
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zary
1
0
Zary
Jenik
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenik
0
1
Zary
Jenik
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zary
3
2
Zary
Jenik
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Jenik
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (106)
46.7% (30)
-1.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jenik shoots left. Zary is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Zary shoots left. Jenik is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Home / Away
Zary
Jenik
Home
41.9% (62)
0.0% (1)
Away
46.8% (47)
48.3% (29)
By Period
Zary
Jenik
P1
42.9%
57.1%
P2
42.5%
41.7%
P3
47.1%
45.5%
Final 5 min
16.7%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
44.0%
Jenik
48.0%▲
45.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Connor Zary |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 10:34 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 07:13 | Defensive | Jan Jenik |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 2 | 09:16 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 2 | 09:07 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 1 | 07:22 | Neutral | Jan Jenik |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 1 | 03:55 | Neutral | Jan Jenik |