Scouting Report
Justin Danforth holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 41.6% vs right-shot opponents — Danforth shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 42.6% vs Danforth 49.8% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zary 62.2%
Defensive zone
Danforth 86.9%
Neutral zone
Danforth 68.5%
Result
Justin Danforth favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Zary
Danforth
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Zary
Danforth
Last 7: Zary 4-3 Danforth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zary
2
0
Zary
Danforth
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
0
1
Zary
Danforth
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Zary
Danforth
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (447)
51.8% (1,018)
-10.0%
Power Play
36.2% (58)
50.0% (36)
-13.8%
On power play, Danforth has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Zary is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Zary shoots left. Danforth is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (937).
Home / Away
Zary
Danforth
Home
41.3% (293)
51.4% (619)
Away
41.0% (212)
48.3% (642)
By Period
Zary
Danforth
P1
40.4%
49.1%
P2
38.6%
51.4%
P3
45.2%
48.3%
OT
0.0%
64.3%
Final 5 min
34.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
41.2%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 01:34 | Offensive | Connor Zary |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 11:25 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 09:11 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 11:55 | Offensive | Connor Zary |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 04:06 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 11:54 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |