Scouting Report
Justin Danforth holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Danforth shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 41.1% vs Danforth 49.5% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zary 67.3%
Defensive zone
Danforth 89.6%
Neutral zone
Danforth 69.7%
Result
Justin Danforth favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Zary
Danforth
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Zary
Danforth
Last 7: Zary 4-3 Danforth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zary
2
0
Zary
Danforth
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
0
1
Zary
Danforth
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Zary
Danforth
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
36.6% (205)
50.5% (546)
-13.9%
Power Play
41.7% (36)
50.0% (14)
-8.3%
On even strength, Danforth has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Zary is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Zary shoots left. Danforth is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Home / Away
Zary
Danforth
Home
38.8% (152)
51.1% (315)
Away
34.8% (89)
48.0% (346)
By Period
Zary
Danforth
P1
33.3%
49.5%
P2
31.7%
51.4%
P3
47.5%
46.6%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
32.7%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
37.3%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 01:34 | Offensive | Connor Zary |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 11:25 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 09:11 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 11:55 | Offensive | Connor Zary |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 04:06 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 11:54 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |