Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 47.1% vs Stenlund 54.3% (-9.5%)
Offensive zone
Zary 76.4%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 75.4%
Neutral zone
Zary 52.0%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Zary
Stenlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (136)
56.1% (615)
-9.0%
Power Play
31.6% (19)
53.2% (47)
-21.6%
On power play, Stenlund has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Zary is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (74).
Zary shoots left. Stenlund is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Zary
Stenlund
Home
45.6% (79)
57.0% (458)
Away
44.7% (76)
52.6% (511)
By Period
Zary
Stenlund
P1
48.3%
55.1%
P2
46.3%
53.3%
P3
39.5%
56.4%
Final 5 min
47.1%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.2%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%