Connor Zary vs Kevin Stenlund

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Kevin Stenlund holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Zary 45.1% vs Stenlund 53.0% (-12.0%)
Offensive zone Zary 70.2%
Defensive zone Stenlund 80.4%
Neutral zone Stenlund 53.5%
Result Kevin Stenlund favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Zary Stenlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Zary
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (114)
55.0% (500)
-12.0%
Power Play
31.6% (19)
50.0% (40)
-18.4%
On power play, Stenlund has a +18.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Zary is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Zary shoots left. Stenlund is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (511).
Home / Away
Zary
Stenlund
Home
43.5% (69)
55.5% (346)
Away
39.1% (64)
51.7% (437)
By Period
Zary
Stenlund
P1
46.0%
54.4%
P2
40.0%
51.7%
P3
36.8%
54.8%
Final 5 min
48.3%
56.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
46.0%
41.5%
41.4%
Stenlund
48.0%
53.5%
53.4%