Scouting Report
Connor Zary holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zuccarello shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 42.6% vs Zuccarello 40.7% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zuccarello 67.9%
Defensive zone
Zary 63.0%
Neutral zone
Zuccarello 55.5%
Result
Mats Zuccarello favored at 67.9%
32.1%
67.9%
Zary
Zuccarello
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Zary
Zuccarello
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zuccarello
0
1
Zary
Zuccarello
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Zuccarello
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (447)
39.5% (435)
+2.3%
Power Play
36.2% (58)
36.1% (61)
+0.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zuccarello shoots left. Zary is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Zary shoots left. Zuccarello is 36.2% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Zary
Zuccarello
Home
41.3% (293)
38.6% (272)
Away
41.0% (212)
39.2% (245)
By Period
Zary
Zuccarello
P1
40.4%
36.4%
P2
38.6%
36.5%
P3
45.2%
45.2%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
34.6%
30.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
41.2%
Zuccarello
50.0%▲
42.0%
38.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 01:56 | Offensive | Mats Zuccarello |