Scouting Report
Oskar Sundqvist holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Sundqvist on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Zary wins 41.6% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 42.6% vs Sundqvist 44.3% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zary 72.3%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 75.5%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 51.4%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Zary
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Zary
Sundqvist
Last 7: Zary 3-4 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zary
2
0
Zary
Sundqvist
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
0
3
Zary
Sundqvist
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Zary
Sundqvist
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (447)
44.2% (2,842)
-2.4%
Power Play
36.2% (58)
51.0% (98)
-14.8%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Zary is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Zary shoots left. Sundqvist is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,379).
Home / Away
Zary
Sundqvist
Home
41.3% (293)
44.2% (1,584)
Away
41.0% (212)
44.0% (1,741)
By Period
Zary
Sundqvist
P1
40.4%
42.8%
P2
38.6%
45.6%
P3
45.2%
43.7%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
34.6%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
41.2%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 13:43 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 10:42 | Offensive | Connor Zary |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 08:09 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 07:55 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 04:42 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 13:39 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 13:32 | Offensive | Connor Zary |