Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Zary wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 46.9% vs Danault 51.7% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 61.1%
Defensive zone
Danault 85.0%
Neutral zone
Danault 77.4%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 75.8%
24.2%
75.8%
Zary
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Zary
Danault
Last 6: Zary 4-2 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zary
2
0
Zary
Danault
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
2
Zary
Danault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zary
1
0
Zary
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (106)
52.6% (895)
-7.3%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
55.7% (97)
-55.7%
On power play, Danault has a +55.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Zary is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Zary shoots left. Danault is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (787).
Home / Away
Zary
Danault
Home
41.9% (62)
54.0% (581)
Away
46.8% (47)
49.7% (576)
By Period
Zary
Danault
P1
42.9%
53.7%
P2
42.5%
55.3%
P3
47.1%
46.5%
Final 5 min
16.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
44.0%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 11:21 | Offensive | Connor Zary |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Connor Zary |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 08:03 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 11:31 | Defensive | Connor Zary |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 06:48 | Neutral | Connor Zary |