Scouting Report
Connor Zary holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 40.6% vs right-shot opponents — Vrbata shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 41.7% vs Vrbata 40.9% (+2.9%)
Offensive zone
Vrbata 56.3%
Defensive zone
Zary 59.1%
Neutral zone
Zary 51.3%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Zary
Vrbata
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Vrbata
Edge
Even Strength
40.5% (425)
34.2% (184)
+6.3%
Power Play
36.2% (58)
45.2% (42)
-9.0%
On power play, Vrbata has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vrbata shoots right. Zary is 40.6% vs right-shot opponents (207).
Zary shoots left. Vrbata is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Zary
Vrbata
Home
40.6% (283)
32.3% (124)
Away
39.0% (200)
42.2% (116)
By Period
Zary
Vrbata
P1
39.3%
31.0%
P2
36.5%
38.5%
P3
44.7%
43.8%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
34.3%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
46.0%▲
41.5%
40.0%
Vrbata
30.0%▼
36.0%
37.1%