Scouting Report
Connor Zary holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 41.6% vs right-shot opponents — Vrbata shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 42.6% vs Vrbata 40.9% (+4.1%)
Offensive zone
Vrbata 57.5%
Defensive zone
Zary 57.4%
Neutral zone
Zary 51.8%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Zary
Vrbata
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Vrbata
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (447)
34.2% (184)
+7.6%
Power Play
36.2% (58)
45.2% (42)
-9.0%
On power play, Vrbata has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vrbata shoots right. Zary is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Zary shoots left. Vrbata is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Zary
Vrbata
Home
41.3% (293)
32.3% (124)
Away
41.0% (212)
42.2% (116)
By Period
Zary
Vrbata
P1
40.4%
31.0%
P2
38.6%
38.5%
P3
45.2%
43.8%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
34.6%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
41.2%
Vrbata
30.0%▼
36.0%
37.1%