Scouting Report
Corban Knight holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Knight wins 39.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Knight 50.5% vs Stepan 47.0% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 59.1%
Defensive zone
Stepan 68.9%
Neutral zone
Stepan 62.6%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
Knight
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Knight
Stepan
Last 6: Knight 2-4 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
2
Knight
Stepan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Knight
Stepan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
1
Knight
Stepan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Knight
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (102)
46.6% (889)
+4.4%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
46.9% (113)
+19.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
47.5% (101)
-47.5%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +47.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Knight is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (33).
Knight shoots right. Stepan is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Home / Away
Knight
Stepan
Home
41.4% (58)
47.7% (555)
Away
62.5% (48)
45.6% (548)
By Period
Knight
Stepan
P1
45.7%
46.4%
P2
51.2%
45.7%
P3
56.7%
48.5%
Final 5 min
46.4%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Knight
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.9%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 17:57 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 13:54 | Defensive | Corban Knight |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 12:18 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Corban Knight |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 19:35 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 11:19 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |