Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Knight wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Knight 51.1% vs Spezza 57.3% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 66.0%
Defensive zone
Knight 61.4%
Neutral zone
Knight 51.8%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Knight
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Knight
Spezza
Last 5: Knight 2-3 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
2
Knight
Spezza
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Knight
1
0
Knight
Spezza
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Knight
Spezza
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Knight
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (111)
58.0% (697)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (10)
60.0% (5)
-30.0%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Knight is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (30).
Knight shoots right. Spezza is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Knight
Spezza
Home
65.2% (46)
58.2% (376)
Away
44.0% (75)
58.2% (431)
By Period
Knight
Spezza
P1
54.8%
63.3%
P2
48.6%
54.9%
P3
52.4%
57.4%
Final 5 min
53.6%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Knight
50.0%▬
49.0%
52.1%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2019 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Corban Knight |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 3 | 17:38 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 3 | 08:51 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 08:34 | Neutral | Corban Knight |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 1 | 01:34 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |