Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Knight wins 41.0% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Knight 51.4% vs Spezza 54.7% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 65.5%
Defensive zone
Knight 61.4%
Neutral zone
Knight 50.9%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Knight
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Knight
Spezza
Last 5: Knight 2-3 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
2
Knight
Spezza
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Knight
1
0
Knight
Spezza
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Knight
Spezza
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Knight
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (273)
54.4% (7,990)
-1.7%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
56.8% (1,726)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
52.7% (643)
-25.4%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Knight is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (83).
Knight shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Home / Away
Knight
Spezza
Home
52.4% (147)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
51.4% (142)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Knight
Spezza
P1
50.5%
55.7%
P2
51.0%
54.4%
P3
54.5%
54.1%
Final 5 min
47.1%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Knight
50.0%▬
49.0%
51.9%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2019 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Corban Knight |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 3 | 17:38 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 3 | 08:51 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 08:34 | Neutral | Corban Knight |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 1 | 01:34 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |