Scouting Report
Corban Knight holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Knight on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Knight wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Knight 51.4% vs Smith 50.6% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Knight leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Knight 58.5%
Defensive zone
Smith 50.4%
Neutral zone
Knight 57.3%
Result
Corban Knight favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Knight
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Knight
Smith
Last 10: Knight 8-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Knight
7
1
Knight
Smith
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Knight
3
2
Knight
Smith
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Knight
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Knight
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (273)
51.6% (5,265)
+1.1%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
51.2% (342)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
45.3% (985)
-18.0%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Knight is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Knight shoots right. Smith is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,394).
Home / Away
Knight
Smith
Home
52.4% (147)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
51.4% (142)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Knight
Smith
P1
50.5%
49.9%
P2
51.0%
50.0%
P3
54.5%
51.9%
Final 5 min
47.1%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Knight
50.0%▬
49.0%
51.9%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2016 | 3 | 07:45 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 3 | 16:03 | Offensive | Corban Knight |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 3 | 12:33 | Defensive | Corban Knight |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 3 | 08:11 | Defensive | Corban Knight |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 3 | 08:07 | Defensive | Corban Knight |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 2 | 16:05 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 2 | 13:59 | Offensive | Corban Knight |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 2 | 10:42 | Offensive | Corban Knight |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 2 | 10:38 | Offensive | Corban Knight |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 2 | 07:04 | Offensive | Corban Knight |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 1 | 10:41 | Offensive | Corban Knight |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 1 | 07:51 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 1 | 07:47 | Offensive | Corban Knight |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 1 | 01:22 | Defensive | Zack Smith |